Following Coronavirus Page 8

  • Frogofdoom 11 Feb 2020 14:11:02 16,609 posts
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    I wouldn't say nothing to worry about, my wife has a naturally weak immune system so it's best it stays away from her.
  • Not-a-reviewer 11 Feb 2020 14:20:25 6,319 posts
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    me360 wrote:
    https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/85320e2ea5424dfaaa75ae62e5c06e61

    Its 2.3%, about 2 weeks ago it was 2.1%. Its stable at around 2%, nothing to worry about probably
    The normal flu is about 1%
  • Graxlar_v3 11 Feb 2020 14:22:37 10,225 posts
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    Not-a-reviewer wrote:
    me360 wrote:
    https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/85320e2ea5424dfaaa75ae62e5c06e61

    Its 2.3%, about 2 weeks ago it was 2.1%. Its stable at around 2%, nothing to worry about probably
    The normal flu is about 1%
    Also, we don't know if the 39k are actually better or just not dead right now.
  • Armoured_Bear 11 Feb 2020 14:25:46 28,871 posts
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    macmurphy wrote:
    me360 wrote:
    Swine flu was worse, but now it's accepted as one of the seasonal flu's that does the rounds annually. You've probably had it.

    With coronavirus I'm more worried about my pets, these things jump species but focus is only ever on human mortality


    Yeah mate fair point. Someone today said that sixty percent of world population could get it. At 2/100 mortality that would be about 10,000,000 I think? My maths isnít great.

    But Iím definitely worried about your dog.
    Haha
  • Load_2.0 11 Feb 2020 14:32:50 31,893 posts
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    Three minutes to Wapner

    Edited by Load_2.0 at 14:33:00 11-02-2020
  • monkman76 11 Feb 2020 14:38:00 16,172 posts
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    Check out the big brains on me360
  • macmurphy 11 Feb 2020 14:38:55 4,286 posts
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    me360 wrote:
    2 percent of 66 million (UK population) =
    one million three hundred twenty thousand
    No mate I was going for 2% of 60% of world population (7.8 billion). Our rates would be very unlikely to hit that because we have controls and infrastructure to alleviate the problems. Thatís why they estimate only sixty percent of world population. They think it could run rampant in developing countries though.

    Linky for the 60% stat: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/11/coronavirus-expert-warns-infection-could-reach-60-of-worlds-population

    Edited by macmurphy at 14:42:21 11-02-2020
  • Graxlar_v3 11 Feb 2020 14:41:17 10,225 posts
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    macmurphy wrote:
    me360 wrote:
    2 percent of 66 million (UK population) =
    one million three hundred twenty thousand
    No mate I was going for 2% of 60% of world population (7.8 billion). Our rates would be very unlikely to hit that because we have controls and infrastructure to alleviate the problems. Thatís why they estimate only sixty percent of world population. They think it could run rampant in developing countries though.
    It wouldnt take long to fuck up London to be fair. Two week incubation period would be (for want of a better word) murder to anyone using tube/train or buses.
  • macmurphy 11 Feb 2020 14:45:47 4,286 posts
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    @Graxlar_v3

    I think it would be a nightmare. Food shortages, rioting, troops on streets.

    I feel like once the genie is out of the bottle how do you put it back in? Matt Hancock said case numbers are still doubling world wide every five days.

    If it gets a hold in Brighton, when does it stop?
  • macmurphy 11 Feb 2020 14:46:16 4,286 posts
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    Just thinking itís been at a GP surgery no? How likely is it that one of those treated commutes to London and gets the tube every day. Thereís a reasonable chance isnít there. And what if theyíve been carrying for a week and had no knowledge. Maybe they already had a slight cold and have been sneezing on the underground. Might all come to nothing but itís gone pretty wrong in China.

    Edited by macmurphy at 14:48:50 11-02-2020
  • Not-a-reviewer 11 Feb 2020 15:05:21 6,319 posts
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    me360 wrote:
    There's vaccines and all that for normal flu, and it infects 10 of millions maybe 100s of millions. But its true, this is a novel virus with no vaccine and limited or no immunity. Shit...
    There are loads of strains of the flu, each year they decide which is most likely to need a vaccine then they create that. Flu is not just one thing otherwise it would be easy to get rid of.
  • JamboWayOh 11 Feb 2020 15:05:43 20,053 posts
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    me360 wrote:
    It's already gone past the point where it can be stopped. It will be like swine flu where eventually it's just accepted and forgotten about. You'll get it one day and shrug it off like just another cold.
    Thanks for the reassurance doctor.
  • Not-a-reviewer 11 Feb 2020 15:08:21 6,319 posts
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    Everyone I know has had swine flu at least 3 times.
  • Rogueywon Most Generous Forumite, 2016 11 Feb 2020 15:08:49 9,028 posts
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    Maybe we should quarantine Brighton? Nothing too dramatic... just ring it with a 300 foot high wall and blockade the shoreline with warships with shoot to kill orders. Just for a sensible precautionary period... maybe 300 years?
  • Frogofdoom 11 Feb 2020 15:29:21 16,609 posts
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    Also your swine flu stats are off 0.026% of people infected have died from swine flu. The initial fears were worse than the reality.
  • Frogofdoom 11 Feb 2020 15:36:00 16,609 posts
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    Edited out an incorrect stat

    Edited by Frogofdoom at 15:39:15 11-02-2020
  • macmurphy 11 Feb 2020 15:44:39 4,286 posts
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    me360 wrote:
    Yes that's right but swine flu infected hundreds of millions, by the time this pans out it will probably be the same. The hysteria was the same at this point. Need to look at the stats at this point, people were dying left and right in Mexico
    Donít see how this will be the same if itís 20% critically ill and 2% mortality. Thatís a lot different to swine flu. Plus also it seems more infectious? Article today about doctors in protective gear getting it in China. Also can transmit without symptoms. I donít remember the same sort of disruption for swine flu that weíve already seen in China and itís still growing.
  • monkman76 11 Feb 2020 15:54:35 16,172 posts
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    Rogueywon wrote:
    Maybe we should quarantine Brighton? Nothing too dramatic... just ring it with a 300 foot high wall and blockade the shoreline with warships with shoot to kill orders. Just for a sensible precautionary period... maybe 300 years?
    Yep. Keep you London cunts out.
  • macmurphy 11 Feb 2020 15:58:48 4,286 posts
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    And yeah my maths was out earlier, thatís around 100 million dead based on sixty percent of 7.8 billion catching it and 2% mortality. Thatís a lot.

    Said Spanish Flu killed 20-50 million back in the twenties.
  • JamboWayOh 11 Feb 2020 16:05:30 20,053 posts
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    This thread took an interesting turn.
  • monkman76 11 Feb 2020 16:06:01 16,172 posts
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    Locked in my attic
  • JYM60 11 Feb 2020 16:16:35 18,483 posts
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    Is it better to get it now, so you can get in and treated, then back to the house for some 'self isolation'? Better than getting it when there's millions of people looking treated and nobody there to treat you.
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